http://blogs.suntimes.com/bears/2009/07/29_days_to_camp_bears_have_mor.html
Wednesday, July 8, 2009
Breakout/Undervalued Players For 2009
Here is my first take at a list of breakout or undervalued players for 2009. Quarterback Matt Ryan/Atlanta Falcons - After posting a decent 17 TD passes as a rookie, the second-year pro will now have the best tight in the NFL to throw to this season. Lets face it, the missing factor for this offense was at the tight end position. Now with Tony Gonzalez in the fold, it will be very hard for defenses to key on any one facet of Atlanta's offense. Ryan should be a pretty good value for fantasy owners in the middle rounds and you can get him as your starter there. Running Back Pierre Thomas/New Orleans Saints - Thomas was a big surprise for the Saints last season considering his role wasn't clearly defined coming into the season. However, once veteran RB Deuce McAllister's role was reduced and Reggie Bush started struggling with knee problems, Thomas saw an increased role. While handling just under 9 carries/game, he posted a very solid 4.8 yards per carry average to go along with a whopping 12 combined TDs (9 rushing/3 receiving). McAllister is gone and Bush is coming off of major knee surgery, so Thomas should post at least 12-15 touches/game this season. That makes him a breakout candidate for 2009. Jonathan Stewart/Carolina Panthers - The Panthers drafted him to be the main ball carrier, but Stewart dealt with a nagging toe problem last season which limited his effectiveness. Now 100 percent, he should give veteran RB DeAngelo Williams a run in training camp to be the team's main back. Stewart is being drafted close to the middle rounds and you can steal him as your third RB. Wide Receiver Anthony Gonzalez/Indianapolis Colts - With veteran WR Marvin Harrison released, Gonzalez will now be a starter. Gonzalez posted very solid numbers last season (57/664/4) despite only starting two games. He clearly has the trust of Peyton Manning and his role should increase this season. But keep an eye on the rookie drafted this year. Devin Hester/Chicago Bears - Hester made the full conversion to receiver last season and posted decent numbers (51-665-3) and started eight games. He'll essentially be their top receiver this season and he'll now have one of the NFL's best young quarterbacks in Jay Cutler throwing to him. Expect Hester's yards per catch to grow this season as well as his TD numbers. He's looking like a solid #3 WR with upside. Donnie Avery/St. Louis Rams - Avery was one of the biggest surprise rookie receivers last season, but faded down the stretch. The good thing is he'll work with the first-team offense all off-season and will be expected to be their top receiver this season. He has excellent upside for fantasy owners in the second half of drafts. Miles Austin/Dallas Cowboys - With the release of Terrell Owens, a starting job has opened up opposite Roy Williams. The expectation is that Austin, who has good size and speed, will win it. Austin, if he starts, will be expected to be the third passing option and that carries good late round value for depth or better. Tight End John Carlson/Seattle Seahawks - He had a very underrated rookie season (55-627-5) last year. Carlson's role will expand this season with starting QB Matt Hasselbeck in the lineup. While the team added T.J. Housh, Carlson should still be no worse than their third passing option, and he might even be the second–especially in the red zone area. He's worth drafting as your starter and you can get him in rounds 9-10. Greg Olsen/Chicago Bears - With no true second passing option at this point, Olsen's role should expand this season. With Jay Cutler throwing to him, Olsen should approach 60 receptions or more this season (he posted 54 last season). Brent Celek/Philadelphia Eagles - The coaching staff, after reviewing last year's game tape, believes Celek is going to be their starting tight end this season. Celek's impressive post-season run (19-151-3) opened a lot of eyes and the team believes his role will expand this season. He's worth taking a shot on late in your draft as a low-end starter.
Tuesday, July 7, 2009
2009 QB Projections
# Player TM Att Comp Yds TD INT Ru Yds Ru TD FF Pts 1 Tom Brady NE 540 370 4390 41 11 45 0 377 2 Peyton Manning IND 555 400 4450 39 12 40 1 376.5 3 Drew Brees NO 590 375 4400 39 14 50 1 373 4 Aaron Rodgers GB 525 335 3900 32 16 170 1 330 5 Kurt Warner AZ 550 380 4250 29 16 25 1 321 6 Tony Romo DAL 590 378 4200 27 14 165 0 320.5 7 Philip Rivers SD 500 320 4125 28 12 80 0 314.25 8 Matt Ryan ATL 470 260 3500 25 13 388 2 312.8 9 Donovan McNabb PHI 535 340 3800 29 15 150 1 312 10 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 410 275 3630 30 12 100 2 311.5 11 Matt Schaub HOU 530 360 4150 27 14 95 0 311 12 Carson Palmer CIN 550 340 3800 28 13 100 2 311 13 Jay Cutler CHI 575 373 4100 28 16 25 0 303.5 14 Matt Cassel KC 500 310 3625 25 14 280 1 301.25 15 Matt Hasselbeck SEA 570 340 3922 24 12 40 1 290.1 16 Sage Rosenfels MIN 580 301 3703 24 14 100 0 277.15 17 Marc Bulger STL 435 265 3250 26 13 55 0 259 18 Joe Flacco BAL 470 300 3400 19 12 190 1 259 19 Eli Manning NYG 472 299 3450 23 11 25 0 256 20 Chad Pennington MIA 469 320 3590 19 9 65 0 253 21 Trent Edwards BUF 470 292 3110 24 13 135 0 252 22 Kyle Orton DEN 480 310 3490 19 15 160 0 251.5 23 David Garrard JAC 455 270 3000 17 14 311 1 241.1 24 Brady Quinn CLE 465 260 3350 19 14 112 0 240.7 25 Jake Delhomme CAR 400 232 3105 23 14 25 0 235.75 26 Mark Sanchez NYJ 290 265 3300 17 14 100 1 235 27 Luke McCown TB 475 290 3010 16 8 200 1 232.5 28 Shaun Hill SF 455 280 3100 19 12 60 0 225 29 Kerry Collins TEN 325 230 3100 19 15 80 0 224 30 JaMarcus Russell OAK 375 208 2650 16 10 135 1 206
